【登壇報告】アンタルヤ外交フォーラム
2025年4月11日(金)~13日(日)に、トルコ外務省が主催する「アンタルヤ外交フォーラム(Antalya Diplomacy Forum)」がトルコ共和国アンタルヤで開かれ、11日のADF-Panel” Geostrategic Dynamics in Asia-Pacific”に当財団の角南理事長が登壇しました。
■Three Failures in the Middle East: Nationalism, Democratization, Over-expectations towards Western Europe
The social origin of jihadist of Europe and the Middle East is different, but they share the feeling of humiliation. The humiliation in the Arab world is structured by firstly corrupt and authoritarian government. Also the Muslim youth in the Middle East feel frustrated because even though they have high academic degrees, they are not offered good job opportunities.
This feeling of humiliation is historically related to three failures in the Arab world. The first failure is Arab nationalism. It was initiated by Nasel, but he lost six-day war with Israel in 1967. After that, Sadat came to power while Islamic radicalism began to grow and it eventually assassinated him. Islamic radicalism grew in the Middle East as a consequence of the failure of Arab nationalism in part.
The other failure is Arab revolutions. In some cases, the revolution led to the regime that turned out to be worse than the previous regime. During the first several years of Arab revolutions, jihadism temporarily toned down. However, people lost their hope for the revolution after 2013. In other cases the revolutions ended up civil wars, as in Syria, Yemen and Libya leaving those countries in a catastrophe. Or it led to the third alternative, what is called "cosmetic reform", which was the case of Morocco.
When it comes to various problems caused by the rising new types of regional powers, there is a feeling of rejection from the West. Nowadays, we are witnessing two major regional powers in the Middle East: Saudi Arabia and Iran. Both are authoritarian in a different manner. This new regional power confrontation between Sunni- Saudi Arabia and Shia- Iran, led to many of the current problems. Among them, the conflict in Yemen, which witnessed a huge humanitarian crisis that includes spreading infectious diseases such as cholera, where Saudi Arabia is bombing and young people are killed. In Syria, there is also a tragedy forced by powers: Iran and Russia are on one side and the United States, Saudi Arabia and the Emirates are on the other side. This confrontation delayed the process of ceasefire and peace talks.
■Integration of Immigrants in Europe: Denied Identity
The failure of integration forms the backbone of the feeling of humiliation. There are three types for an economic integration. The first type is the integration to become the member of the middle class. The second type is a partial integration, which means the workers can find jobs but lower level jobs. This bears the feeling of being despised and rejected. And the third type is the integration of those who consider themselves completely excluded from the society with no hope for the future. This is particularly clear when it comes to Moroccans. The jihadist attempts in Spain in 2004 and 2017 were caused by non-Arab Moroccans, who were mostly from northern region of Morocco which is habituated by Amazighs: Berbers. The Berbers were persecuted in the 1960s because they were considered as unruly. They hold multiple types of denied identities: neither Moroccan, nor Belgium, nor Spanish, nor French, nor Arab. Radicalism syntheses the new identity that overcomes these divided identities.