Ocean Newsletter
No.587 January 20, 2025
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Asia-Arctic cooperation and the next phase in Japan´s Arctic engagement
Kristín INGVARSDÓTTIR (Assistant Professor, University of Iceland)
Over a decade has passed since Japan, along with four other Asian countries, was granted permanent observer status in the Arctic Council in 2013. Since then, Japan has actively contributed to Arctic scientific research and strengthened its collaboration with Arctic states. Now, in 2025, Japan is advancing into the next phase of Arctic science and diplomacy. Given the current geopolitical situation, Japan's Arctic cooperation—with both other Asian states and its partners in the Arctic—is probably more important than ever.
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Polar dialogue: A critical assessment of its inception and potential impact
Santosh Kumar RAUNIYAR (Ocean Policy Research Institute, Sasakawa Peace Foundation)
The 2024 Arctic Circle Assembly introduced the "Polar Dialogue," connecting the Arctic, Antarctic, and the Third Pole (Hindu Kush Himalayan region) to address global climate and geopolitical issues. While this initiative represents a significant step forward it faces key challenges, including bridging governance gaps and ensuring equity, particularly for underrepresented Third Pole regions experiencing rapid glacier melt. Discussions highlighted integrating Indigenous knowledge, fostering community cohesion, and prioritizing nature-based solutions. Geopolitical tensions and distinct regional needs demand inclusive, context-specific governance frameworks. Public awareness of Third Pole issues remains low, necessitating targeted advocacy. The Polar Dialogue’s success depends on actionable strategies, with key milestones like the 2025 Arctic Circle Delhi Forum ahead.
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Changes in the Arctic Environment Bring Extreme Weather to Japan
HONDA Meiji (Professor of Natural Sciences, Niigata University)
Along with global warming, the Arctic is experiencing rapid environmental changes. The shrinking of snow and ice, such as sea ice, snow cover, and ice sheets, means that the source of the Arctic cold is weakening, and while winters in the mid-latitudes, such as Japan, are generally milder, they are also frequently hit by cold waves and heavy snowfall. This is because the westerly winds are more likely to meander, making it easier for strong cold air to enter temporarily, and even if global warming continues in the future, there is a good chance that we will be hit by unprecedented cold waves and heavy snowfall.
Polar dialogue: A critical assessment of its inception and potential impact
KEYWORDS
Polar Dialogue / Third Pole, Arctic Circle / Regional Cooperation
Santosh Kumar RAUNIYAR (Ocean Policy Research Institute, Sasakawa Peace Foundation)
The 2024 Arctic Circle Assembly introduced the "Polar Dialogue," connecting the Arctic, Antarctic, and the Third Pole (Hindu Kush Himalayan region) to address global climate and geopolitical issues. While this initiative represents a significant step forward it faces key challenges, including bridging governance gaps and ensuring equity, particularly for underrepresented Third Pole regions experiencing rapid glacier melt. Discussions highlighted integrating Indigenous knowledge, fostering community cohesion, and prioritizing nature-based solutions. Geopolitical tensions and distinct regional needs demand inclusive, context-specific governance frameworks. Public awareness of Third Pole issues remains low, necessitating targeted advocacy. The Polar Dialogue’s success depends on actionable strategies, with key milestones like the 2025 Arctic Circle Delhi Forum ahead.
The Launch of the Polar Dialogue
The Arctic Circle Assembly (ACA) 2024 marked a pivotal moment in polar governance and scientific collaboration with the inauguration of the “Polar Dialogue.” This initiative extends beyond the traditional Arctic focus, creating a bridge between ice-covered regions such as the Arctic, Antarctic, and the Third Pole (Hindu Kush Himalayan region). While this is a commendable step forward, the Polar Dialogue must overcome critical challenges to establish itself as a transformative mechanism for addressing global climate and geopolitical issues.
A step forward or an ambitious start?
The Polar Dialogue builds on the One Planet – Polar Summit initiated by French President Emmanuel Macron in 2023, drawing on discussions in Paris, Reykjavik, Monaco, and Berlin. Its aim to integrate science, policy, and local knowledge across polar and cryosphere regions is laudable. However, the question remains: can it transcend theoretical aspirations to deliver tangible outcomes?
In its current form, the Polar Dialogue represents a nascent framework for collaboration, but its effectiveness hinges on resolving long-standing gaps in global climate governance, particularly in regions like the Third Pole, where geopolitical complexities and fragmented policies hinder progress. While the Arctic enjoys significant global recognition and well-established research networks, the Third Pole remains underrepresented, despite its critical role as a water tower for nearly two billion people. Addressing this disparity must be a cornerstone of the initiative if it aims to achieve equity in climate action.
In its current form, the Polar Dialogue represents a nascent framework for collaboration, but its effectiveness hinges on resolving long-standing gaps in global climate governance, particularly in regions like the Third Pole, where geopolitical complexities and fragmented policies hinder progress. While the Arctic enjoys significant global recognition and well-established research networks, the Third Pole remains underrepresented, despite its critical role as a water tower for nearly two billion people. Addressing this disparity must be a cornerstone of the initiative if it aims to achieve equity in climate action.
Urgency in the Third Pole: A comparative perspective
The Third Pole's glaciers are melting at a rate reportedly four times faster than the Arctic, with profound implications for water security, biodiversity, and livelihoods. Yet, global attention remains disproportionately focused on the Arctic. This imbalance in recognition exacerbates the vulnerability of communities in the Hindu Kush Himalayan region and delays the development of coordinated transnational policies.
A significant critique of the Polar Dialogue lies in its framing as predominantly technology driven. While modern scientific tools such as environmental DNA (eDNA) hold transformative potential, the assembly’s discussions rightly emphasized that addressing climate change and sustainability requires a deeper focus on Indigenous knowledge, nature-based solutions, and community-based adaptation measures.
In the Third Pole region, where upstream, midstream, and downstream communities experience vastly different impacts of climate change, fostering dialogue and collaboration across these interconnected groups is essential. However, logistical challenges such as language barriers, socio-economic inequalities, and uneven access to resources hinder effective community interaction. To ensure the Polar Dialogue achieves meaningful outcomes, it must prioritize:
1. Indigenous knowledge integration: Indigenous practices often align with sustainable ecosystem management. For example, the knowledge of yak herders in the Third Pole offers invaluable insights into high-altitude resilience, such as their practice of seasonal migration to optimize grazing resources and prevent land degradation, just as reindeer herders in the Arctic demonstrate expertise in managing extreme cold ecosystems. Such practices must not only be preserved but also leveraged in crafting adaptive strategies.
2. Community exchange and cohesion: A unique strength of the Polar Dialogue lies in its capacity to create a shared platform for communities from diverse cryosphere regions. However, fostering genuine interactions requires more than symbolic participation; sustained dialogue, resource-sharing frameworks, and capacity-building initiatives are critical to enable equitable knowledge exchange.
3. Scaling nature-based solutions: Discussions at ACA 2024 underscored the urgency of prioritizing nature-based solutions over purely technological interventions. These approaches, rooted in ecosystem restoration, can serve as sustainable and cost-effective means to address climate impacts while empowering local communities.
A significant critique of the Polar Dialogue lies in its framing as predominantly technology driven. While modern scientific tools such as environmental DNA (eDNA) hold transformative potential, the assembly’s discussions rightly emphasized that addressing climate change and sustainability requires a deeper focus on Indigenous knowledge, nature-based solutions, and community-based adaptation measures.
In the Third Pole region, where upstream, midstream, and downstream communities experience vastly different impacts of climate change, fostering dialogue and collaboration across these interconnected groups is essential. However, logistical challenges such as language barriers, socio-economic inequalities, and uneven access to resources hinder effective community interaction. To ensure the Polar Dialogue achieves meaningful outcomes, it must prioritize:
1. Indigenous knowledge integration: Indigenous practices often align with sustainable ecosystem management. For example, the knowledge of yak herders in the Third Pole offers invaluable insights into high-altitude resilience, such as their practice of seasonal migration to optimize grazing resources and prevent land degradation, just as reindeer herders in the Arctic demonstrate expertise in managing extreme cold ecosystems. Such practices must not only be preserved but also leveraged in crafting adaptive strategies.
2. Community exchange and cohesion: A unique strength of the Polar Dialogue lies in its capacity to create a shared platform for communities from diverse cryosphere regions. However, fostering genuine interactions requires more than symbolic participation; sustained dialogue, resource-sharing frameworks, and capacity-building initiatives are critical to enable equitable knowledge exchange.
3. Scaling nature-based solutions: Discussions at ACA 2024 underscored the urgency of prioritizing nature-based solutions over purely technological interventions. These approaches, rooted in ecosystem restoration, can serve as sustainable and cost-effective means to address climate impacts while empowering local communities.
Governance and geopolitics: A delicate balancing act
Geopolitical tensions are a defining feature of both the Arctic and the Third Pole, with overlapping and contested sovereignties complicating governance. In the Arctic, NATO’s increased presence and strategic policies underscore the region's growing geopolitical importance. Similarly, the Third Pole faces transboundary water-sharing conflicts, which are exacerbated by rapid glacier melt and water scarcity. The Polar Dialogue must act as a platform to harmonize governance frameworks and foster regional cooperation in both regions.
However, replicating Arctic governance models in the Third Pole may not yield the desired results due to distinct socio-political and ecological contexts. The Hindu Kush Himalayas are home to densely populated areas with diverse cultural and political landscapes, requiring governance frameworks that integrate local realities. The Polar Dialogue must prioritize bottom-up approaches that engage Indigenous and local communities, ensuring that policy interventions are contextually relevant and socially inclusive.
However, replicating Arctic governance models in the Third Pole may not yield the desired results due to distinct socio-political and ecological contexts. The Hindu Kush Himalayas are home to densely populated areas with diverse cultural and political landscapes, requiring governance frameworks that integrate local realities. The Polar Dialogue must prioritize bottom-up approaches that engage Indigenous and local communities, ensuring that policy interventions are contextually relevant and socially inclusive.
Public awareness and advocacy: A critical gap
A recurring theme at ACA 2024 was the need to elevate public awareness about the urgency of cryosphere-related challenges. The global public’s lack of familiarity with the Third Pole, compared to the Arctic, is a significant barrier to building momentum for policy action. This underlines the importance of advocacy campaigns that highlight the immediate risks posed by Third Pole glacier melt, such as water stress and biodiversity loss, and their cascading effects on global systems.
While the session raised valid questions about translating scientific data into actionable policies, it offered limited solutions for engaging the general public. Bridging this gap requires innovative communication strategies that resonate with diverse audiences. Storytelling, digital platforms, and local community partnerships could play a crucial role in amplifying the voices of those directly impacted by climate change in the Third Pole region.
While the session raised valid questions about translating scientific data into actionable policies, it offered limited solutions for engaging the general public. Bridging this gap requires innovative communication strategies that resonate with diverse audiences. Storytelling, digital platforms, and local community partnerships could play a crucial role in amplifying the voices of those directly impacted by climate change in the Third Pole region.

The first Polar Dialogue Session held in Arctic Circle Assembly, Reykjavík, Iceland, October 2024
Future directions and recommendations
Looking ahead, the Polar Dialogue must evolve into a results-driven initiative that facilitates concrete action. Several critical steps are necessary:
1. Strengthen cross-regional collaboration: The Polar Dialogue should establish dedicated task forces for the Arctic and Third Pole regions, focusing on shared challenges such as water security, biodiversity monitoring, and climate adaptation. Collaborative projects, like the proposed Interpolar Conference, must prioritize actionable outcomes over symbolic events.
2. Integrate modern technology with traditional knowledge: Combining eDNA and other advanced monitoring tools with community-based adaptation measures can enhance resilience in vulnerable regions. However, this requires sustained funding and capacity-building programs to address regional disparities in technological adoption.
3. Promote inclusive governance: Governance frameworks must reflect the unique socio-political realities of the Third Pole region. Engaging local communities and Indigenous groups in decision-making processes will ensure that policies are equitable and culturally appropriate.
4. Enhance public engagement: Advocacy campaigns must target global audiences to build awareness of the Third Pole’s significance. Highlighting its role as a critical water source and its vulnerability to climate change can galvanize international support and funding.
5. Foster policy innovation: The Polar Dialogue should serve as an incubator for innovative policy solutions that address transboundary issues. Mechanisms for conflict resolution, water-sharing agreements, and biodiversity conservation should be prioritized.
1. Strengthen cross-regional collaboration: The Polar Dialogue should establish dedicated task forces for the Arctic and Third Pole regions, focusing on shared challenges such as water security, biodiversity monitoring, and climate adaptation. Collaborative projects, like the proposed Interpolar Conference, must prioritize actionable outcomes over symbolic events.
2. Integrate modern technology with traditional knowledge: Combining eDNA and other advanced monitoring tools with community-based adaptation measures can enhance resilience in vulnerable regions. However, this requires sustained funding and capacity-building programs to address regional disparities in technological adoption.
3. Promote inclusive governance: Governance frameworks must reflect the unique socio-political realities of the Third Pole region. Engaging local communities and Indigenous groups in decision-making processes will ensure that policies are equitable and culturally appropriate.
4. Enhance public engagement: Advocacy campaigns must target global audiences to build awareness of the Third Pole’s significance. Highlighting its role as a critical water source and its vulnerability to climate change can galvanize international support and funding.
5. Foster policy innovation: The Polar Dialogue should serve as an incubator for innovative policy solutions that address transboundary issues. Mechanisms for conflict resolution, water-sharing agreements, and biodiversity conservation should be prioritized.
Conclusion
The Polar Dialogue marks an ambitious step toward unified action on cryosphere-related challenges. However, its success will depend on its ability to address the critical gaps in global and regional governance, technological application, and public engagement. By prioritizing the needs of the Third Pole and fostering equitable collaboration across polar regions, the initiative can emerge as a transformative force in global climate governance. The forthcoming Arctic Circle Delhi Forum in 2025 and the proposed Interpolar Conference will be litmus tests for the Polar Dialogue’s potential to drive meaningful change.