The Japan-U.S. program worked with the RAND Corporation in the U.S., for a research project from 2022-2023 on allies' perspectives on possible changes in the U.S. relatinship with Taiwan. The findings of this research have been published as “Like-Minded Allies? Indo-Pacific Partners’ Views on Possible Changes in the U.S. Relationship with Taiwan” on RAND's website.
While most discussion about the future of the U.S. relationship with Taiwan focuses on whether the U.S. should maintain the policy of strategic ambiguity, this report considers an often-overlooked question: how would U.S. regional allies (Japan, the ROK, the Philippines) respond to a change in U.S. policy toward Taiwan?
For this purpose, the report reviewed the history of U.S. allies’ relationships with Taiwan and contemporary relations each ally has with the United States, China, and Taiwan. Authors also interviewed policymakers and experts in these allies about their views on hypothetical policy changes the U.S. could undertake. The report concludes with an implication of these allies' perspectives for U.S. policy on Taiwan.
Click the link below to download the PDF full text.
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA739-7.html