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    • The End of Nuclear Forgetting: Revival of Nuclear Weapons

    The End of Nuclear Forgetting

    Revival of Nuclear Weapons

    By Nobumasa Akiyama, Sugio Takahashi, Ken Jimbo, Yu Koizumi,Hirohumi Tosaki, Motohiro Tsuchiya, and Masahiro Kurita


    June 1, 2019
    The Sasakawa Peace Foundation has published a book "The End of Nuclear Forgetting: Revival of Nuclear Weapons" based on a project conducted during 2015-2017. 

    Since the end of the Cold War, the likelihood of nuclear war among major powers has decreased. The expectations of reducing the roles of nuclear weapons were increasing. Additionally, the discussion on the roles of nuclear weapons in the security domain seemed to have terminated, at least among Western countries. The words “nuclear forgetting” describe this termination.

    In this research, the group analyzed the roles of nuclear weapons in the security environment of the 21st century and the diversity of nuclear deterrence and further discussed the trends of nuclear strategy among major powers—such as the U.S. and Russia; the roles of nuclear deterrence at the regional level; and the implications of technological evolution. We aimed at comprehensively addressing the issues of nuclear weapons in a changing world without considering the issue of nuclear deterrence as a taboo in Japan. It is important to capture the changes of the times and understand the different roles and meanings of nuclear weapons, which change depending on the region and target, instead of simply applying Cold War deterrence theory to the current security environment. It is also critical not to divide the discussions of security/deterrence and disarmament/arms control as separate topics. 
     
    Japan-U.S. Program | japan-us@spf.or.jp | Aya Murata

    Description

    Category book
    Author/Editor <Co-editors>  Nobumasa Akiyama, Sugio Takahashi 
    <Co-authors> Nobumasa Akiyama, Sugio Takahashi, Ken Jimbo, Yu Koizumi,Hirohumi Tosaki, Motohiro Tsuchiya, and Masahiro Kurita
    Date of Publication June, 2019
    Content

    Prologue. The Reality of “Revival of Nuclear Weapons”[Takahashi・Akiyama]

    1. Nuclear Weapons in the Two Intellectual Directions
    2. The “Revival” of Nuclear Weapons
    3. The Issues Covered in the Book

    Chapter 1. The U.S.-Rebuilding of Nuclear Deterrence Strategy[Takahashi]

    Introduction

    1. The Strategic Premises of Nuclear Strategy Under the Cold War
    2. The End of the Cold War and the Changing Premises of Nuclear Strategy
    3. The Prague Speech and the“Revival of Nuclear Weapons”
    4. The Challenges of Nuclear Strategy After the “Revival”of Nuclear Weapons

    Conclusion

    Chapter 2. Russia-The Russian Version of“De-Escalation”Strategy[Koizumi]

    Introduction

    1. Declaration Policy and Operation Policy
    2.  The Russian Nuclear Doctrines as“Asymmetric Strategy”
    3. The Reality of the Nuclear Capability Maintenance

    Conclusion

    Chapter 3. China-The Transition from “Minimal Deterrence” to “Assured Retaliation”[Jimbo]

    Introduction-”Asymmetrical Balance”; Maintain or Not

    1. Nuclear Capability of China-from “Minimal Deterrence” to “Assured Retaliation”
    2. U.S.-China Nuclear Relationship-The Implicit Formation of “Strategic Stability”

    Conclusion

    Chapter 4. NATO-The End of“Nuclear Forgetting”?[Tosaki]

    Introduction

    1. The Issues of the Removal of Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Europe-1991~2012
    2. Strengthening the Deterrence Posture against Russia-2013~2016
    3. The Trump Administration and NATO-2017~2018
    4. The Challenges of Strengthening Nuclear Posture and Threat Reduction

    Conclusion

    Chapter 5. India and Pakistan -The 20 years of “Weapons for Deterrence”[Kurita]

    Introduction

    1. The Nuclear Strategy and Nuclear Posture of Pakistan
    2. The Nuclear Strategy and Nuclear Posture of India
    3. Distance to the“Prosecution of Nuclear Wars”

    Conclusion-The Stability of Deterrence

    Chapter 6. Nuclear Control and Cybersecurity[Tsuchiya]

    Introduction-Mist of the Cyber Battlefield

    1. Cyberspace and the Information Technology
    2. Hybrid Warfare and Strategic Stability
    3. Pursuit of a Robust System

    Chapter 7. Nuclear Weapons as the “Weapons of Order” and the Divided World[Akiyama]

    Introduction-The Framework to Consider Nuclear Weapons and International Politics

    1. Determining Factors of the Existence of Nuclear Weapons
    2. Nuclear Weapons as the “Weapon of Order”
    3. New International Environment surrounding Nuclear Weapons
    4. Nuclear Weapons and Morality-Divided World over Nuclear Weapons

    Conclusion

    Epilogue. Japan-Nuclear Deterrence under the Most Challenging Security Environment in the World[Takahashi]

    Introduction

    1. Japan’s  Declaration Policy on Extended Deterrence
    2. Deterrence against North Korea
    3. China

    Conclusion

    Note Publisher: Keiso Shobo
    ISBN: 978-4-326-30280-2
    JAPANESE ONLY

    This book is based on the SPF project research "Changing role of the nuclear weapons in the world"
    https://www.spf.org/en/jpus/nuclear/
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