Introduction

Rising tensions in the East and South China Seas and across the Taiwan Strait have sparked a rush of submarine production around East Asia. Taiwan launched its first domestically built submarine, the Hai Kun, in September 2023,[1] and Japan launched its fourth Taigei-class submarine, the Raigei, in October 2023.[2] South Korea, meanwhile, added the third Dosan Ahn Changho-class submarine to its fleet with the commissioning of the Shin Chaeho on April 5, 2024.[3]

The Dosan Ahn Changho-class submarines are the products of South Korea’s KSS-III program and are marked by major technological advances over earlier vessels. The advances suggest that the security environment surrounding South Korea now require new operations. In the following, I will provide an overview of the technical features of the Dosan Ahn Changho-class submarines and consider their operational implications.

Technical Improvements under the KSS-III Program

The Republic of Korea Navy (ROKN) began full development of its conventionally powered submarine fleet in the 1990s. Under the initial KSS-I program, nine Jang Boho-class submarines were built under license based on the German Type 209 design. The subsequent KSS-II program resulted in the licensed production of nine Son Won-il-class submarines based on the German Type 214. By 2018, the ROKN had 18 operational submarines. For the KSS-III phase, South Korean manufacturers are undertaking the entire construction process, from design to production. Nine KSS-III submarines are being built from 2021 in three batches of three vessels each, with design improvements being planned at each stage.[4] The ROKN currently has 21 submarines,[5] but the aging Jang Boho-class submarines are expected to be gradually retired as the KSS-III phase progresses.

When compared to the KSS-II, the KSS-III features three major improvements. The first is size. The hull of the Son Won-il class was 65 meters long, while the Dosan Ahn Changho class measures 83.5 meters. There has also been a significant increase in displacement from 1,800 tons to 3,700 tons. The larger hull means more room for the crew and supplies, enabling long-term operations over vast distances in the open seas.[6] This, though, raises the question of why a need was felt to overcome operational constraints and achieve upgraded capabilities.

The second improvement is in the propulsion system that enhances underwater operations. Like the Son Won-il class, the Dosan Ahn Changho class uses diesel batteries and fuel cells, but thanks to domestic production of fuel cells and performance improvements, the submerged endurance[7]of the Dosan Ahn Changho class has been extended by more than a week to 20 days.[8] This, along with the improvements mentioned above, has expanded the operational range and period of conventionally powered submarines.

The third improvement is in ground-strike capabilities. In addition to torpedo tubes like those on previous vessels, the Dosan Ahn Changho-class submarines are equipped with a vertical launch system (VLS) that can fire submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) at land targets. The new design will accommodate the Hyunmoo 4-4—an upgraded version of the Hyunmoo 2B surface-to-surface ballistic missile—with a range of approximately 500 kilometers and payload of approximately 1 ton.[9] South Korean SLBMs are sometimes discussed in terms similar to a Cold War nuclear deterrence strategy, as they give the country a so-called second-strike capability—which ordinarily means the ability to respond to a nuclear attack with powerful nuclear retaliation against the attacker. Of course, such a capacity would first require the possession of nuclear warheads, but the very fact that South Korea can now launch SLBMs suggests a change in the objectives of the ROKN’s submarine operations.

Table 1. South Korean Submarines

KSS-I Jang Boho class KSS-II Son Won-il class KSS-III Dosan Ahn Changho class (Batch-1)
Length 55.9m 65m 83.5m
Displacement (submerged) 1,350t 1,858t 3,705t
Propulsion Diesel battery Diesel battery + fuel cell Diesel battery + fuel cell
Armament Torpedoes, mines (vessels 7 to 9 have anti-ship cruise missiles) Torpedoes, mines, anti-ship and anti-surface cruise missiles Torpedoes, mines, anti-ship and anti-surface cruise missiles, anti-surface ballistic missiles
Vessels in operation 9 (commissioned in 1993–2001) 9 (commissioned in 2007–2020) 3 (commissioned from 2021, total of 9 vessels to be built)

Source: Created by the author based on Janes Fighting Ships 2023–2024, pp. 738–40.

Operational Objectives of the Dosan Ahn Changho Class

Generally speaking, submarines are designed to meet such objectives as maritime control, reconnaissance and surveillance, anti-surface warfare, anti-submarine warfare, land attack, special warfare, and minelaying.[10] Of these objectives, South Korean submarines have focused on tactical operations, such as reconnaissance and surveillance and minelaying.[11] Given that North Korea has a powerful ground force but a weak navy, there had been little need for the ROKN to possess a large fleet of high-performance attack submarines. The task of searching for North Korean submarines was mainly assigned to coastal sonar systems and naval aviation units, rather than hunter-killer submarines.[12] Thus the deployment of small submarines of under 2,000 tons, with short periods of continuous underwater operations and armed with just torpedoes and mines had been a rational allocation of resources. The technological improvements of the Dosan Ahn Changho class and the cost of achieving them point to a need to meet new operational requirements.

The larger hull and extended submerged endurance are no doubt intended to enable longer-term operations. This, though, is not essential considering the relatively narrow operational area of the ROKN.[13] And since North Korea has almost no means of detecting submarines,[14] there is no need to remain submerged when operating far from the coast. What prompted the development of new capabilities is the introduction of SLBM-equipped submarines by North Korea.[15] To monitor the entry and exit of these vessels from military ports and to track and attack them if necessary, new submarines were needed that could remain undetected in front of enemy ports for long periods of time.

The reasons for the acquisition of SLBM capability, meanwhile, are believed to be twofold. The first, as made clear in the 2022 defense white paper, is as part of the Korea Massive Punishment and Retaliation (KMPR) strategy under South Korea’s 3K Defense System to counter any large-scale attack from the North.[16]The SLMBs’ role in this system, though, is considered rather limited, since initial wartime strike targets are determined by the Army and Air Force. There have been no simulations of submarines striking land targets, moreover, in recent joint exercises with the US military.[17] At most, the SLBMs will ensure the survival of limited retaliatory capability in the case of a massive North Korean attack. They are not needed to attack SLBM-equipped North Korean submarines, so it would be difficult to justify the possession of SLBMs solely as a component of KMPR.

The second reason for operating SLBMs must be discerned from reading between the lines of the defense white paper. North Korea is the only country that is identified as the “enemy” in the document, but there is a change in strategic awareness between the 2020 and 2022 editions. Until 2020, the stated national security strategy was to take the initiative in the pursuit of a peaceful and prosperous Korean Peninsula in cooperation with countries in the region,[18] but in 2022, the focus shifted to defending and promoting the universal values of freedom, democracy, and human rights on the Korean Peninsula and the surrounding region.[19] Particularly noteworthy are clear references to “threats” other than North Korea and to the strategic competition between the United States and China.[20] Interestingly, a European expert points out that South Korean SLBM operations are aimed at projecting force throughout the Indo-Pacific and have implications for the region’s balance of power.[21] Given the possibility that the hands of the South Korean Army and Air Force may be tied in the event of a Korean Peninsula contingency, it is only natural to consider the use of high-stealth SLBMs to address potential threats.

In Conclusion

New strategic and operational objectives and needs give rise to new weapons systems. But the dilemma this creates is that such new capabilities will raise concerns in other countries and could trigger an arms race. There is no refuting the fact that the primary purpose of South Korea’s SLBMs is to deter North Korea, but neighboring countries may see other reasons. China, for one, has criticized the United States of using a double standard in allowing South Korea to possess SLBMs.[22] A Taiwanese think tank, meanwhile, argued that the SLBMs will lead to changes in China’s Northern Theater Command and could result in a balancing of military power against Taiwan.[23] There is also research that sees SLBM deployment as a signal not just to Pyongyang but also to Washington that Seoul may embark on nuclear weapons development.[24] Although the true intentions of the South Korean government remain unclear, the current program to secure nine SLBM-equipped submarines has doubtless become a significant factor that must be considered when thinking about the region’s security environment.

(2024/08/21)

Notes

  1. 1 Tessa Wong, “ Haikun: Taiwan unveils new submarine to fend off China,” BBC, September 28, 2023.
  2. 2 Kokunai saidaikyu no sensuikan ‘Raigei’ shinsuishiki, Boeisho e 2025-nen hikiwatashi” (Launch Ceremony for Japan’s Largest Submarine Raigei, Delivery to the Ministry of Defense in 2025), Asahi Shimbun, October 17, 2023.
  3. 3 Chwiyeoggi dan ‘Sinchaehoham,’ yeonmal bada suho naseonda” (Newly Commissioned Shin Chaeho Ready to Defend the Sea by Yearend), Gugbang Ilbo, April 5, 2024.
  4. 4 Kym Bergmann, “South Korean Submarine Launch Milestone,” Asia Pacific Defence Reporter, April 4, 2024.
  5. 5 Alex Pape, ed., Janes Fighting Ships 2023–2024, IHS Jane’s, 2023, p. 738. This edition does not include the commissioning of the Shin Chaeho.
  6. 6 In principle, larger hulls can also improve the performance of sonar systems, but I will not discuss this in detail here since sonar performance cannot be objectively ascertained with publicly available materials alone.
  7. 7 Conventionally powered submarines require oxygen to charge their batteries by running diesel engines and, so they need to either surface or rise close to the surface and use a snorkel. How long a submarine can remain underwater without charging its batteries is called submerged endurance.
  8. 8 Eric Wertheim, “South Korea’s Sophisticated KSS-III Submarines,” Proceedings, Vol. 149/6/1444, June 2023.
  9. 9 Alex Pape, ed., op. cit., pp.130-131.
  10. 10 Society of Naval Architects of Korea, ed., Hamjeong (Naval Ships), Society of Naval Architects of Korea, ROK Navy, and Agency for Defense Development, 2012, pp. 318–29.
  11. 11 Kim Dongeun, “ Analysis of the Balance of Underwater Military Forces around the Korean Peninsula using the Net Assessment Methodology: Focusing on Tangible and Intangible Variables for Submarine Forces,” The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, 2020, Vol.36. No.4., p.190.
  12. 12 Fitore Fazliu Tahiri, et.al., eds., Janes C4ISR & Mission Systems: Maritime 2023–2024, IHS Jane's, 2023, p.601.
  13. 13 For example, the distance from South Korea’s Northern Limit Line (NLL) to the home port of North Korea’s SLBM-equipped submarine at the Sinpo shipyard is only 80 nautical miles. Even considering the slow speed of conventional submarines (about 5 knots), the time required to reach the port and return is less than 32 hours. The distance to the northernmost tip of North Korea, moreover, is only 230 nautical miles.
  14. 14 The North Korean Navy has no anti-submarine destroyers or sonar-equipped aircraft. Alex Pape, ed., op. cit., pp. 551–56.
  15. 15Kita Chosen, shinzo sensuikan de ‘senjutsu kaku’ koji, Nichi-Bei-Kan ni taiko, SLBM tosai ka: Jissen noryoku ni gimon mo” (North Korea Displays ‘Tactical Nuclear’ Submarine to Counter Japan, US, and South Korea, Possibly Equipped with SLBMs, but Doubts Remain about Combat Capability), Jiji.com, September 8, 2023.
  16. 16 Ministry of National Defense, Republic of Korea, Defense White Paper 2022, February 2023, pp.60-61., February 2023, pp. 60–61. The ROK 3K Defense System refers to the acquisition of the capabilities needed to respond to North Korea’s advanced nuclear and missile threats. It consists of the Kill Chain to swiftly and precisely detect key targets and eliminate them prior to launch; the Korean Air and Missile Defense to intercept enemy missiles; and the Massive Punishment and Retaliation of enemy bases. The 3K Defense concept first appeared in the 2016 defense white paper during the administration of conservative President Park Geun-hye, but no mention was made of submarines or SLBMs as being part of this system through 2020. The concept was not included in the 2020 defense white paper during the tenure of liberal President Moon Jae-in but was revived in a more developed form in 2022 under conservative President Yoon Seok-yeol.
  17. 17 The document detailing wartime strike targets remains classified, and the full text has not been made public. However, media reports of the March 2024 ROK-US field training exercise (FTX) indicate that training involving enemy base attacks was conducted only by the Army and Air Force, without the participation of submarines. “Han-Mi hunlyeon jonglyo da-eumnal-edo, gong-gun siltansagyeog, yuggun gongjung gangseub” (Air Force Conducts Live-Fire Drills and Army Conducts Air Assaults Day after ROK-US Exercise Ends), CBS News, March 15, 2024.
  18. 18 Ministry of National Defense, Republic of Korea, Defense White Paper 2020, 2021, p.43.
  19. 19 Ministry of National Defense, Republic of Korea, Defense White Paper 2022, 2023, pp.36-37.
  20. 20 Ibid, p. 41. For example, while the 2020 defense white paper describes China’s military activities in a neutral manner (p. 20), the 2022 edition states clearly that China’s activities have caused “alarm” in neighboring countries (p. 17). It also cites four defense strategy objectives, listing “intensifying US-China strategic competition” as the first of various complex security threats. And it states the need to elevate the ROK-US alliance to “a global comprehensive strategic alliance” as the third objective, given the “geopolitical competition” over issues related to “common values and international rules and norms” (p. 41). Previous defense white papers made no such references, even indirectly, to engagement in developments beyond the Korean Peninsula.
  21. 21 Pawel Behrendt, “South Korean SLBM, Between Narratives and Broader Consequences,” Organization for Research on China and Asia, October 5, 2021.
  22. 22Hán jiēlián shì shè xīnxíng dǎodàn rě zhēngyì” (South Korea’s Successive Test Launches of New Missiles Spark Controversy), China Military, September 27, 2021.
  23. 23 Hánguó shì shè qián shè dǎodàn, táiwān què hěn xīngfèn” (South Korea’s SLBM Test Launches Excite Taiwan), Global Times, September 9, 2021.
  24. 24 Michael Cohen, “South Korea’s new SLBMs are a signal to North Korea and the US,” National Security College, Australian National University, July 3, 2024.